Interview with a real trader

How one trader uses eFutureVision methods & techniques to power his own trading business to success. George Dos Santos is a successful investor, trader & keen student of eFutureVision trading methods. This exclusive interview with George reveals some valuable insights, lessons, wisdom, and tips that all active traders can learn from. Many thanks to George. Enjoy!

Q. How & when did you get in to trading?

 

I’m a clinical psychologist (now retired) who came to the USA from Trinidad in 1963 and worked his way through college and graduate school.

After losing my first few thousand dollars in the stock market I started buying Mutual Funds such as Fidelity Magellan, Value Line etc. I opened an IRA account when they were first created and deposited the allowable $2,000/year into it. Peter Lynch had Fidelity Magellan growing at the rate of about 20% to 25% a year. According to the “rule of 72” my capital was doubling in value every three to four years.

When Omega Research offered their first end-of-day charting program, Super Charts, I purchased it and read Alex Elder’s “Trading for a Living” and John Murphy’s “Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets.” I learned a lot from them and I still use Super Charts to provide me with the bigger picture of the markets. Omega does not support Super Charts anymore since they now offer Tradestation but I still use it.

 

Q. Were you consistently profitable from the very beginning? Tell us about the trading methods you used and your early success (or lack of it!)

 

As soon as I started working full-time and saved a few thousand dollars I went to a brokerage firm and spoke to a broker who opened an account for me and bought shares in a medical company. Weeks later, I went to see the broker who informed me that the stock went to “zero.” I asked him why he did not call me while it was collapsing and advise me to sell it and he had no answer. Much to his surprise, I thanked him for teaching me a very important lesson, and that is that NO ONE was ever going to handle my investment decisions in the future. I told him that I would learn all that I can and make my own decisions in the future. So I was not successful in the beginning.

My early success was due to my learning all I could about technical analysis from Alex Elder, John Murphy and in 2000 from John Ehlers. I used those methods suggested by them. They included Alex’s “triple screen” approach, Moving Averages, MACD etc, John Murphy’s chart patterns, and John Ehlers’ MESA software, especially his “instantaneous trend line” and “kalman filter.” I also read many financial periodicals such as The Wall Street Transcript, Forbes, Fortune etc.

When I felt confident enough to do so, I sold some of my shares in Magellan and started doing my own investing using Super Charts and was quite successful. I had early success in the late 1980’s and the 1990’s owning technology companies such as Dell and Microsoft.

In the beginning I relied on moving averages, MACD and its divergences, RSI and Williams %R.

When John Ehlers published his article, “Adaptive Trends and Oscillators” in Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities in May 2000 I purchased his software for Super Charts and I have been using it ever since to indicate whether the market or stock is in a trending mode or cycle mode and if there is a crossing of the Kalman Filter above or below the Instantaneous Trend Line. His indicators, “Instantaneous Trend Line” and “Kalman Filter” are also available on Fidelity’s Wealth Lab Pro.

I sold most of my stocks and got out of the stock market in April 2000 when it was clear that on the Weekly charts, there was a massive divergence of MACD histogram from prices of the S&P 500 and many of the stocks I owned were beginning to falter.

At that time I was not comfortable shorting the market or stocks so I did not benefit from doing so during the bear market starting March 2000.

 

Q. Some say that every trader has to completely blow up his account at least once before he can become successful. Was that true for you?

 

Except for my first loss mentioned earlier I never completely “blew up” my account after that. I lost a lot of money on some individual investments but I never put all my money at risk at all. Years ago I had a large position in Vimpel, the Russian cell phone company and Putin put out a false rumor about their avoiding taxes and the ADR dropped significantly. I took a big loss on that one.

 

Q. If so, did blowing up change your views/philosophy of the market in any way?

 

Yes! It taught me that I have to take complete control of my money and investments and not rely on others to make investment decisions for me. I listen to, and read all the opinions offered but in the final analysis I will make the investment decisions.

It also taught me to pay more attention to position size.

 

Q. Have you been consistently successful with the eFuturevision setups? Tell us about  your experience so far

 

I made 99% of my money as an investor and not a day trader. Day Trading is something new for me. Since I do not presently have a futures/commodities trading account, when I viewed the videos on your site I decided to plot the indicators on the Fidelity software that I use and do some paper trading at first. It became obvious that the 9/30 system was providing very reliable entries and exits etc. I decided to use the 9/30 system with the Direxion ETFs, TNA and TZA which track the Small Cap stocks. They are leveraged 3X so there is enough volatility to get setups. The first 14 trades were winning trades. Then I had two losing trades. I don’t do this type of trading every day.

 

Q. Was there a ‘light bulb’ or catalyst moment when you realized you were consistently profitable?

 

When I realized that the first 8 trades were winners, even though the sample size  was very small, I began to think that there might be a high degree of reliability in the 9/30 approach.

 

Q. What is the secret to your trading success?

 

Having a trading plan and following it. If I deviate from it I usually lose money.

 

Q. What is your favourite eFutureVison setup & why? 

 

My favorite eFutureVision setup is the 9/30. It is clear, consistent, relatively simple and easy to execute.

 

Q. What are your strengths as a trader?

 

I’m really not sure how to answer that. However, I learned to be patient and wait for the setup to occur before I enter a trade and not jump the gun.

In addition, I learned to take a profit and not let a winning trade develop into a losing trade. Many of the losing trades that I have had even before using the 9/30 setup were the result of not taking a profit. Like most people I tend to do well on the entries but not as well on the exits.

 

Q. How long are you usually in a position?

 

With day trading the 9/30 I might be in a position for anywhere from 10 to 40 minutes.

In my regular position trading I can own a stock for months at times.

 

Q. What role does risk-management play in your trading?

 

It is a key factor. With experience I learned to make it a significant part of my trading or investing.

 

Q. What are you doing when a position goes against you? Are you using stop-loss orders?

 

I have been using stop loss orders.

 

Q. Does market psychology factor in your trading?

 

It is an important factor in the position trading that I do but not so much for the day trading when I do it. As long as I follow the entry and exit rules of the 9/30 the market psychology does not seem to be as important in the day trading.

 

Q. How do you handle distracting thoughts and emotions during the trading day?

 

The first thing I do is turn off the volume of the TV and its talking heads that are the source of most distractions. Instead I play relaxing music.

If I am not in a good place emotionally I do not do any trading or investing. If I make a bad trading decision I review it and attempt to learn from it.

 

Q. How do you prepare for the trading day? Do you follow any routines or do you take it as it comes?

 

On days that I am going to be active in the market I usually go to the gym early enough to get back for the opening of the market.

I get breakfast, download data etc. and get ready for the open.

 

Q. How many hours do you spend in front of your screens?

 

If I am day trading, I am usually in front of the screens from the open to about 11.30am unless I have an open position that I need to manage. I would usually take a break for lunch or do other things and return for the last 1-2 hours.

 

Q. Isn’t it hard to spend that much time in front of your PC? How do you stay focused for such a long time?

 

It can be quite boring at times but I am able to keep myself busy with other things like reading or looking at a DVD etc. Unless I have an open position I am able to read, make phone calls, check email etc while I periodically check the screens to see if a setup is developing.

 

Q. How do you like to relax away from the markets?

 

I like to workout in the gym, read, do some self-hypnosis, cook, meet with dear friends and take walks etc.

 

Q. What equipment do you use? (PC, charting software, data, etc)

 

For the long-term view of the market structure I still use Super Charts software where I determine the Monthly, Weekly and Daily market structure and whether the market is trending or not. In order to take a position in a stock the weekly and daily charts must be trending up.

I have a desktop and two Laptops. I keep my Fidelity Active Trader Pro and Wealth Lab Pro screens on the desktop and I keep Best Choice software on my laptop.

I also have some screening software like Telechart on my laptop.

 

Q. Which markets & timeframes are you using on your charts?

 

On Active Trader Pro I use a 3-minute, 15-minute and hourly charts of ETFs, TNA and TZA. I am very new at using the 9/30 so I am limiting my day trading to these two. Most of my money is in IRA’s where there is no margin allowing me to sell short so in order to sell short I use the inverse Direxion ETF, TZA.  I have found that I need to turn on the pre-market trading otherwise the charts are too chaotic for the first hour or so and more often than not the trend of the last hour of pre-market trading continues into the open of the NY markets.

 

Q. Would you recommend eFutureVision to other traders?

 

I certainly would. I believe that it is one of the simplest, affordable yet effective trading approaches available that does not require many years of experience in the markets to be successful.

 

Q. What’s the best piece of advice you have for aspiring traders?

 

Be humble! As soon as you begin to think that you are invincible the market will prove you wrong. Keep learning and keep a trading diary and good records for review so that you can learn from your mistakes. Find a experienced mentor or mentors and learn from them.

 

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Leave A Reply (2 comments So Far)

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  1. Anne Nagy
    13 years ago

    Thanks for your comments and ideas; it’s a great help to know that there are others out there struggling with the same challenges.


  2. Herman
    13 years ago

    Very good Article. i like the most this quote ” Like most people I tend to do well on the entries but not as well on the exits.” it really made my day, since i have the same problem, i have no issues getting in on a good trade only to lose it because i expected it to go where I wanted, and it did NOT. makes me feel good that even pros struggle with this issue.